W1 · Morning Brief
07:30
40%
5 Items
Result
Fixed
07:30
Stuttgart 1:1 St. Pauli (Matchday 23). Afolayan 62'. Heroic draw! St. Pauli defended like a fortress and countered for 1:1. Afolayan with the equaliser. Important point in the relegation battle.
Match Stats
Fixed
07:30
Stuttgart 1:1 St. Pauli — Match Statistics:
32.5%
Possession STP
3 : 6
Shots on Target
8 : 19
Total Shots
2 : 8
Corners
Mood
Variable
08:03
Pride in the Stuttgart point. Fans celebrate the fighting spirit. Hoffenheim away will be tough, but St. Pauli doesn't give up.
Form
Fixed
07:30
Saison: 4-7-12, 19 Punkte aus 23 Spielen. Last 5 Liga: D L W L L. Torbilanz: 20:38. Heimtabelle Platz 15. — away position 18..
Table
Fixed
07:30
17th (relegation spot!) — 1 Punkt hinter Relegation. Every point worth gold. Hoffenheim away as a tough task.
Home / Away
Fixed
07:30
St. Pauli AUSWÄRTS 25/26
Table: 18.
Hoffenheim HEIM 25/26
Table: —
H2H
Fixed
07:30
Direktvergleich Bundesliga (8 games): St. Pauli 2S 2U 4N, Goals 9:14. First Half: St. Pauli 0:1 Hoffenheim (Matchday 10, 30.11.2025).
H2H Last 5
Fixed
07:30
30.11.25St. Pauli 0:1 TSGN
10.05.25TSG 2:1 St. PauliN
08.12.24St. Pauli 1:1 TSGU
22.04.23TSG 3:0 St. PauliN
15.10.22St. Pauli 2:1 TSGS
Last 5: St. Pauli 1S 1U 3N · 0× in 5 H2H auswärts
Key Stats
Fixed
07:30
32.5%
Possession in Stuttgart (Punkt geholt!)
20
Saisontore (zweitwenigste der Liga)
19
Punkte — relegation spot
0.83
Punkte/Spiel
St. Pauli all competitions 25/26: 5S 8U 13N, 22:42 Goals (26 games). Promoted team fighting for survival.
Early Odds
Fixed
07:30
Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli (Sat 28.02.) — Opening odds:
Hoffenheim
1.60
59.5%
Unentsch.
3.80
25.0%
St. Pauli
5.50
17.3%
Oracle
Fixed
07:30
Oracle 3-Source Comparison · Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli:
| Quelle | Hoffenheim | Unentsch. | St. Pauli | Vol / Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Di/Mi |
| Polymarket | 65¢ | 21¢ | 16¢ | $4.7K |
| Kalshi | — | — | — | ⏳ ~Mi/Do |
⚠️ Liquidity: LOW — Polymarket-Volumen $4.7K. Pinnacle-Closing-Line ab ~Mittwoch als Wahrheitsreferenz.
Delta Check: Not available — only 1 of 3 sources live. Oracle table complete from ~Wed 25.02.
Season Markets
Fixed
07:30
Season market context: St. Pauli Relegation: Polymarket 39¢ YES. Directly in the relegation spot.
W2 · Midday Update
12:30
25%
—
Preview
12:30
H2H am Standort, Gegner-Saisonprofil, Verletzungsstatus nach Training, Sperr-Check (Gelbe Karten). —.
W3 · Evening Brief
17:30
25%
2 Items planned
Preview
17:30
Pinnacle opening odds (if available), Polymarket/Kalshi update, key metric, Remaining schedule next 5 opponents. 2 Items planned.
W4 · Night Signal
21:00
10%
—
Preview
21:00
CL-/Relegations-Mathematik, Value Signal (C+ Paywall). —.
Publishing · Monday (MD+2)
TIER 3 · 5 ITEMS
W1
07:30
Morning Brief · 40% ▸
W212:30Midday Update · 25%
W317:30Evening Brief · 25%
W421:00Night Signal · 10%
Split: 4 Fixed (80%) · 1 Variable (20%) · 0 Signal
Last Match · Matchday 23
Stuttgart — St. Pauli
Pauli
Sat 22.02. · 15:30 · MHPArena · 60.058
⚽ Afolayan 62'
Next Match · Matchday 24
LOW
Hoffenheim
8. · 30 Pts
8-6-9
vs
St. Pauli
17. · 19 Pts
4-7-12
🏟 PreZero Arena
📅 Sat 28.02.
⏰ 15:30
Oracle · 3-Quellen-Status
PINNACLE · Wahrheitsreferenz
⏳ Linie erwartet ~Di/Wed 25.02.
POLYMARKET · Prediction Market
Hoffenheim
65¢
Unentsch.
21¢
St. Pauli
16¢
Volume: $4.7K
KALSHI · CFTC-reguliert
⏳ Markt erwartet ~Mi/Thu 26.02.
DELTA-CHECK: Not available (1/3 sources live)
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal: Available from 3-source comparison ~Wed 25.02.
Value Signal · Thresholds
C+ PREMIER
| <3pp | No Signal | Märkte im Einklang |
| 3–5pp | 👁️ Watch | Watch |
| 5–10pp | ⚡ Trade | C+ Paywall |
| >10pp | 🔥 Strong | C+ Paywall |
| Arb | 🔒 Arb | C+ Paywall |
Preview Stats · Matchday 24
| St. Pauli | Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| Tabellenplatz | 17. | 8. |
| Punkte | 19 | 30 |
| Bilanz | 4-7-12 | 8-6-9 |
| Goals | 20:38 | 34:36 |
| Form (5) | UNSNN | NSUNS |
| Ohne Win | 4 Spiele Spiele | — |
| Home/Away | A: 18. | H: — |
| Frühquote | 1.60 | 5.50 |
| Wahrsch. | 59.5% | 17.3% |
| Liquidität | LOW $4.7K Poly | |
API-Football · Polymarket · Sky · 23.02.2026
Squad Status
- Aus Irvine Muscle tear
API-Football · kicker.de · FotMob · 23.02.2026
Manager · Alexander Blessin
"Sun kämpfen wir. Das ist St. Pauli-DNA. 32% Possession in Stuttgart und ein Punkt — das macht mich stolz."
Sky · 22.02.2026
Data Pipeline · Sources
API-Football
Stats, Table, Form
Football-Data
H2H, Backup
Odds API
Pinnacle Lines
Polymarket
Match + Season
Kalshi
CFTC-reguliert
kicker.de
Squad, press conf, quotes
Hamburger Morgenpost
Mood, Transfer
ZERO HALLUCINATION · Nur API-Daten · Keine Fakten aus LLM-Wissen